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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: analytics

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Cronulla Sharks

Your men’s Cronulla Sharks finished the season in second place on the ladder with an 18-6 record and +209 points difference. It was only the sixth Sharks team to finish on the front row of the grid in their history. The other second placed finishers include 1973, 1978 and 1997. Cronulla left the post-season in… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Cronulla Sharks

September 23, 2022September 22, 2022 pythagonrl

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Canberra Raiders

Your men’s Canberra Raiders finished the 2022 NRL season in eighth place with a 14-10 record and +63 points difference. Conceding 461 points, the Raiders had the sixth best defence but only the eighth best attack, with 524 points being more than the bottom half of the table could manage but no better than the… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Canberra Raiders

September 22, 2022 pythagonrl

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Gold Coast Titans

Your men’s Gold Coast Titans finished thirteenth (really, that high?) with a 6-18 record and a -205 points difference. Conceding at a rate of 27.5 points per game, the Titans had the fourth worst defence in the NRL (behind two teams that fired their coach and one that will in the next year) and the… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Gold Coast Titans

September 21, 2022September 22, 2022 pythagonrl1 Comment

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Brisbane Broncos

Your men’s Brisbane Broncos finished the 2022 season with a 13-11 record and in ninth place. With a points difference of -36, the Broncos had a Pythagorean expectation of just 11.2 wins, although this is somewhat slanted by two massive losses in consecutive weeks: 60-12 to the Storm and 53-6 to the Eels. During their… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Brisbane Broncos

September 19, 2022September 19, 2022 pythagonrl1 Comment

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Melbourne Storm

Your men’s Melbourne Storm finished the season in fifth place with a 15-9 record and +247 points difference. The Storm qualified for the finals where they were promptly dispatched by the Canberra Raiders in week one, at home, by a score of 28-20. Melbourne had the best attack in the NRL, scoring 27.4 points per… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Melbourne Storm

September 14, 2022 pythagonrl

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Manly Sea Eagles

Your men’s Manly Sea Eagles finished the 2022 season in eleventh place with a 9-15 record and -105 points difference. With the tenth best attack (20.4 points scored per game) and the twelfth best defence (24.8 points conceded per game) and a slight underperformance of their Pythagorean expectation of 9.8 wins, Manly ended up about… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Manly Sea Eagles

September 9, 2022September 13, 2022 pythagonrl

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Canterbury Bulldogs

Your men’s 2022 Canterbury Bulldogs finished in twelfth place with a 7-12 record and -192 points difference. The Bulldogs’ 16.0 points scored per game was the third worst in the NRL, which is somehow an improvement on four of the last five years of Bulldogs football. Their defence leaked 24.0 points per game and was… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Canterbury Bulldogs

September 8, 2022September 13, 2022 pythagonrl

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 New Zealand Warriors

Your men’s New Zealand Vodafone® Warriors™ finished the 2022 season in fifteenth and second last place with a 6-18 record and -292 points difference. Their defence was the worst in the NRL, conceding an even 700 points in 24 games, and the worst in Warriors franchise history. The only team that came close to their… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 New Zealand Warriors

September 7, 2022September 13, 2022 pythagonrl1 Comment

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Wests Tigers

Your men’s Wests Tigers finished the 2022 season in last place with a frozen meat pie of a record (4-20) and a points difference of -327. The Tigers scored the fewest points in the NRL at 14.7 per game, the worst effort since the 1999 Magpies and 1999 Tigers both failed to clear that mark.… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Wests Tigers

September 6, 2022September 6, 2022 pythagonrl1 Comment

A Deep Dive into the 2022 NRL season

The men’s NRL returns on Thursday night, kicking off the season with Penrith, who I am told won last year’s grand final, playing Manly. This small market duel is an odd way to start the season but it seems they are actually quite good and no one wants to watch the Broncos lose by 50… Read More A Deep Dive into the 2022 NRL season

March 7, 2022 pythagonrl

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