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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: eels

A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Parramatta Eels

Your men’s Parramatta Eels finished the 2022 NRL season in fourth place, with a 16-8 record and +119 points difference. The Eels’ points difference was the seventh best in the league, good for a Pythagorean expectation of 14.4 wins. Given the noticeable overperformance, it’d be worth keeping an eye out for an underperformance of same… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Parramatta Eels

October 3, 2022October 3, 2022 pythagonrl

A Shallow Dive into the 2021 Parramatta Eels

The Parramatta Eels finished the season in sixth place on the ladder before a graceful exit from the finals in the second week, at the hands of the Penrith Panthers. A 15-9 record came with a +109 points difference that was fairly reflective of their capability. A 457 points conceded was a respectable fourth best,… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2021 Parramatta Eels

September 25, 2021September 24, 2021 pythagonrl

A Shallow Dive into the 2020 Parramatta Eels

From my season preview: I think this is it for the Eels. They are due for their once-a-decade (give or take) tilt at the premiership. The Taylors are not too crash hot on the Eels. There are holes in key TPR ratings: Reed Mahoney at hooker, Dylan Brown nominally at five-eighth and, to a lesser… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2020 Parramatta Eels

October 16, 2020October 29, 2020 pythagonrl

Who will win the 2019 NRL Premiership?

At this time of year, is there anything else you want to know more than the answer to this question? For our crystal ball, we turn to Monte Carlo simulations. These simulations work on the principle that if we know the inputs to a complex system and how they relate to each other, then we… Read More Who will win the 2019 NRL Premiership?

September 11, 2019November 16, 2019 pythagonrl

A deep dive for each team’s 2019 NRL season

With the first Maori versus Indigenous All-stars game and another edition of the World Club Challenge in the history books, our attention turns to the NRL season ahead. As with last year, I’m going to do a SWOP – Strength, Weakness, Opportunity and Prospect – analysis for each team. My general philosophy for judging a team’s… Read More A deep dive for each team’s 2019 NRL season

February 27, 2019March 26, 2019 pythagonrl

One thing new NRL fans need to know about each team

Last year’s Rugby League World Cup introduced the sport to a lot of new potential fans around the world. If anyone in rugby league administration could see past their nose, they’d be trying to win over these new converts to the game’s top competition: the National Rugby League. The 2018 season starts this week and… Read More One thing new NRL fans need to know about each team

March 6, 2018December 17, 2018 pythagonrl

A deep dive for each NRL team’s 2018 season

The only thing more reliable than March bringing rugby league back is the slew of season previews that each and every media outlet feels the need to produce. I’m no different in this regard and here is what is likely to be the longest post I’ve ever compiled. This year’s season preview takes a look… Read More A deep dive for each NRL team’s 2018 season

February 21, 2018March 8, 2018 pythagonrl

Analysis – Another bloody mid-season review (Part II)

With the conclusion of round 14, it’s just over half time in the 2017 NRL season. It’s the ideal time to do what everyone else is doing and look back at the season so far. This week we’re looking at the back half of the NRL. Part I, from Brisbane to Newcastle, was last week. Benchmarks… Read More Analysis – Another bloody mid-season review (Part II)

June 14, 2017June 15, 2017 pythagonrl

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