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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: queensland cup

NRL Tips – Round 6, 2018

Round 5 wasn’t too terrible for me but Archimedes was all over it. In a season where the results have gone a bit all over the place and some big teams can’t stick to a form guide, maybe it’s not surprising that the best of the jury is only on 57.5% and the worst only… Read More NRL Tips – Round 6, 2018

April 11, 2018April 18, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 5, 2018

After fairly nailing round three, we were brought back to earth in round four, picking up a few measly tips here and there. I think I managed three, bringing me to a total of sixteen from thirty-two or, if you prefer, about as accurate as flipping a coin. Interestingly, the jury is not doing much… Read More NRL Tips – Round 5, 2018

April 4, 2018April 11, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 4, 2018

Coming into the Easter long weekend and the competition is starting to take shape. Despite protests from many, I had a reasonably good week with the tipping in round 3 but still trail my Greek colleagues. To be fair, none of us are doing particularly well but hopefully things will settle down soon and the… Read More NRL Tips – Round 4, 2018

March 28, 2018April 5, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 3, 2018

Round 3 is only thirty-six hours or so away and it’s time to tip. Unlike last week, where both Greeks completely agreed, there is a fair bit of disagreement for the upcoming fixtures. Last year, you would’ve been well advised to listen to Eratosthenes but Archimedes is off to a great start in 2018, having nailed… Read More NRL Tips – Round 3, 2018

March 21, 2018March 28, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 2, 2018

Round 1 delivered a wild weekend of results, with a huge swing to home teams. Archimedes was all over that, courtesy of the gaps between teams being overwhelmed by the home ground advantage. Consequently, it got lucky while Eratosthenes and I suffered with what were logical but ultimately, bad choices. This week is a new… Read More NRL Tips – Round 2, 2018

March 14, 2018March 21, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips (and ISC) – Round 1, 2018

Rugby league is back, baby. It’s good again. Awoouu (wolf Howl) Yes, the rugby league tipping equivalent of a dril tweet has returned for another season of being really bad at tipping but not so bad that you could take it to the bank as a contrarian indicator. Before we get down to business, there are… Read More NRL Tips (and ISC) – Round 1, 2018

March 8, 2018March 14, 2018 pythagonrl

Primer – Who are the Greeks? 2018 Edition

The Greeks is the collective name given to a series of Elo rating models for tracking performance of rugby league teams and forecasting the outcomes of games. I usually refer to them as if the philosopher himself was making the prediction, even though the Greeks have mostly been dead for a couple thousand years and… Read More Primer – Who are the Greeks? 2018 Edition

January 18, 2018January 31, 2018 pythagonrl

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