Primer – How does the Stocky work?

The Stocky, which is short for stochastic simulation, is a Monte Carlo simulation of the season using Elo modelling to work out what the outcome of that season might be. The basic premise of a Monte Carlo simulation is that if you have a few pieces of the puzzle, an idea of how they relate… Read More Primer – How does the Stocky work?

April 12, 2017January 14, 2018 pythagonrl

Primer – What variables do the Elo models use?

In my previous primer on Elo ratings, I talked about different ways of calculating Elo ratings with a view of measuring form and/or class. This primer will look in a bit more depth at how I arrived at the specific numbers for the variables. The main variables in an Elo model are: Starting ratings (discrete… Read More Primer – What variables do the Elo models use?

April 5, 2017January 14, 2018 pythagonrl

Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: variables

Primer – How does the Stocky work?

Primer – What variables do the Elo models use?