Category Archives: Tips

NRL Tips – Round 15, 2018

If you were wondering, I’m now in third place in my work tipping competition. A solid run over the last four to five weeks has seen me drag myself up from the lower depths, outside the top twenty, and making a charge for that cash money prize. And unlike the guy coming first, I haven’t had a perfect round so no two bonus points for me to use as a crutch.

That said, it was far from a spectacular round of ISC tipping last week. It did not go well at all, for a second week running, so I guess we’re reverting to mean on that one.

Embed from Getty Images

Read more

NRL Tips – Round 14, 2018

Game I of Origin has come and gone and it mostly lived up to expectation. I might do a short wrap-up early next week when the dust has settled a little bit. While it’s disappointing to be on the losing end, it wasn’t an awful performance from the Maroons, unlike last year’s opener in Brisbane. Generally speaking, I don’t mind my team losing if it’s against a good opponent and they don’t embarrass me for being affiliated. NSW turned up and earned the win. Still, go fuck yourselves.

Sorry, that’s the lizard brain talking. In tipping, last week was a return to more normal form with only two correct in each comp. That’s not so bad in the NRL, especially a shortened round where more than a few got zero, but that’s pretty crap in the QCup, which had a full complement of games.

Embed from Getty Images

Read more

NRL Tips – Round 13, 2018

I thought I did well in round 11, with seven tips correct in the NRL and six in the ISC. Round 12 went pretty bloody well too, with six in the NRL and a perfect round in the QCup. It’s a real shame that the work comp is for NRL and not the ISC. Never in the deepest depths of despair, where I was getting two or three right a week, did I think I’d ever get a perfect round. Truly, the stuff of miracles.

This week, with a short NRL round, I’m going to do a mix of the shorter ‘Other Games’ and the MVR selected previews for all four games. We’re going back to 2017, baby! The Intrust Super Cup, continues with a full round this weekend, and if last weekend was anything to go by, should provide plenty of entertainment where the NRL fails. And, if you’re one of those compulsive types, I’ve a very brief State of Origin tip at the end.

Embed from Getty Images

Read more

NRL Tips – Round 12, 2018

After that last round of footy, when the dust settled, this tipster had brought home seven from eight tips in the NRL and six from seven in the ISC. Some of that had to be down to luck but it’s nice to finally get some. What’s more amazing is that I was let down in the NRL by the least likely contender: the Storm. Melbourne dropped what should have been a sitter of a game, probably because Cam Smith was out injured suspended, wrecking my perfect round.

Overall, tipping is starting to tick back to the 56-57% mark, which is about where you’d be in a normal season by the tipping the home teams. This time last year I was only on 48, so 50 is an improvement, despite the topsy turvy nature of the results so far. Normally, tipping improves over the course of the season, as crap teams become apparent and then stop trying once they’re out of contention.

Embed from Getty Images

Read more

NRL Tips – Round 11, 2018

I did get held up earlier this week with a bit of not being well and working a lot (it’s amazing how often those two things go hand-in-hand). It nixed my ability to do this week’s recap (I did tweet it out though) but I managed to find time to do the tips. Suck on that, work!

Last week was pretty standard, with four or five right for various systems, in a week that some people seemed to struggle with. It might be that the Elo ratings are fairly well dialled in (unless you’re Norths losing to Mackay) or it could just be luck. This week brings a new set of challenges.

Embed from Getty Images

Read more

NRL Tips – Round 10, 2018

Getting six from eight last week has got me back into some sort of contention. I’ve moved clear of the Jury and am closing in on Archimedes. Only two points separate us at this stage of the season that we will start referring to as “mid-season”.

Interestingly, the average error on the margin predictions has fallen a bit over the last few weeks, even as the jury slips to last place in the tipping of results. After round 7, the Jury was out by a collective average of 13.6 points per game. That number dropped to 13.3, 13.0 and now 12.9 after each round. Slight improvements as the form lines become clearer give hope for a more predictable future.

Embed from Getty Images

Read more

NRL Tips – Round 9, 2018

Finding a form line on teams is proving to be a tricky task in 2018. This not only makes it difficult to tip but also to make jokes at the expense of teams. If a team is good one week and crap another, which do you make fun of?

Last week was pretty average in the NRL but very good in the ISC. 5 from 7 is as good as I’ve done this season. We – the Greeks and I – are still slightly over 50% now, so it’s not downright embarrassing but it still ain’t great. I keep hoping this week will be different but we will see.

Embed from Getty Images

Read more

« Older Entries