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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

NRL Tips – Round 17, 2018

I’m still out of sync after Rep Round but I at least got my tips in before the kick-off of the first game. In stark contrast to the other half round, round 17 offers some interesting match-ups and, with only two games in Sydney, we might actually see some people in the stands. And because… Read More NRL Tips – Round 17, 2018

July 5, 2018July 18, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 16, 2018

I don’t even know why we bother playing the full eighty minutes (and by “we play” I mean “I watch, you do”). Most of the games this weekend were decided in the last fifteen to twenty minutes, negating the previous hour of play. And in most of those cases, the previous hour did little to… Read More NRL Recap – Round 16, 2018

July 2, 2018July 9, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 16, 2018

I was enjoying the week off that the rep round afforded me from doing tips and recaps. But before I knew it, I had some tipping to do and I was out on Wednesday and late home on Thursday. As a result, this will probably be completed sometime after Dragons-Eels and published Friday morning. Normally,… Read More NRL Tips – Round 16, 2018

June 29, 2018July 5, 2018 pythagonrl

Stats of Six – Rep/Origin Weekend, 2018

Not being a typical NRL round weekend, I find myself at a loss for a Thursday post so I thought I’d toss a bunch of little things out there – six, to be specific – and see what sticks. I don’t expect this to be a regular format but it might come in handy to get… Read More Stats of Six – Rep/Origin Weekend, 2018

June 21, 2018June 29, 2018 pythagonrl

Spinning the rugby league roulette wheel

The biggest problem I face in trying to work through rugby league analytics is a lack of useful, reliable, easy to source data to analyse. For this post, I had to do it myself. I recorded 1,000 sets of six from the 2018 season so far, ranging from a Titans-Warriors pre-season game and finishing during… Read More Spinning the rugby league roulette wheel

June 19, 2018May 13, 2023 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 15, 2018

It wasn’t a particularly close round with a number of teams stamping their authority on the opposition. I don’t actually have a lot to say about it other than repeating “x team was in control against y team but may have let in a few late tries”. It wasn’t the greatest advertisement for rugby league… Read More NRL Recap – Round 15, 2018

June 18, 2018July 2, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 15, 2018

If you were wondering, I’m now in third place in my work tipping competition. A solid run over the last four to five weeks has seen me drag myself up from the lower depths, outside the top twenty, and making a charge for that cash money prize. And unlike the guy coming first, I haven’t… Read More NRL Tips – Round 15, 2018

June 13, 2018June 19, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 14, 2018

We had a delayed start to round 14, with play between Penrith and Canberra not getting underway until the Friday pub slot. The Raiders faded, as they are wont to do, and let Nathan Cleary slot the winning field goal in the closing minutes, securing two wins in the week for the young halfback. Souths… Read More NRL Recap – Round 14, 2018

June 12, 2018June 18, 2018 pythagonrl

A study in rugby league mortality

We’re talking about the clubs, not actual people, so it probably won’t be as depressing as the title implies. This started out as an examination of which rugby league club could claim to be the best expansion team, in the same vein as the Vegas Golden Knights who disputed the NHL’s Stanley Cup in their… Read More A study in rugby league mortality

June 11, 2018June 29, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 14, 2018

Game I of Origin has come and gone and it mostly lived up to expectation. I might do a short wrap-up early next week when the dust has settled a little bit. While it’s disappointing to be on the losing end, it wasn’t an awful performance from the Maroons, unlike last year’s opener in Brisbane.… Read More NRL Tips – Round 14, 2018

June 8, 2018June 20, 2018 pythagonrl

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