Your men’s Brisbane Broncos finished the 2022 season with a 13-11 record and in ninth place. With a points difference of -36, the Broncos had a Pythagorean expectation of just 11.2 wins, although this is somewhat slanted by two massive losses in consecutive weeks: 60-12 to the Storm and 53-6 to the Eels. During their… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2022 Brisbane Broncos
The Broncos didn’t finish last. They didn’t even finish second last. The Broncos wound up in fourteenth, 7-17 with a -249 points difference. Their points difference was only third worst in the league. The attack was also third worst, somehow behind the seventh placed Knights, and the defence an astonishing fourth worst. 2020 was so… Read More A Shallow Dive into the 2021 Brisbane Broncos
Previously, in our series on Brisbane expansion: BNE2 or On Expansion and its relationship with Brisbane BNE2.1: The game done changed BNE2.2: The Gemba Report ***** A football club has an identity. Three things comprise a club’s identity: purpose, mythology and reality. Let’s explore those ideas with some NRL case studies. The mythology of the… Read More BNE2.3: What is the point of it?
Previously, in our series on Brisbane expansion: BNE2 or On Expansion and its relationship with Brisbane BNE2.1: The game done changed ***** The short version is that twelve NRL clubs have chipped in to get a study (that the ARLC probably should have commissioned themselves) to look at the impacts of expansion on the competition.… Read More BNE2.2: The Gemba Report
“It is, at the end of the day, all rather stupid” Last year was an illuminating time for those who closely follow the working man’s game. If, like me, you’ve only been a keen trainspotter for a few years, we might not remember older train wrecks, like Crusaders. Conveniently, the Toronto Wolfpack experience, which saw… Read More BNE2.1: The game done changed
Six months ago, the Titans were on the chopping block to keep the Sydney clubs alive and some think still should be. With the NRL’s footprint study having presumably been delivered to the ARLC, if not the general public, Peter V’Landys has let drop that he’s not interested in taking the NRL to Perth and… Read More BNE2 or, On Expansion and its relationship with Brisbane
To not put too fine a point on it, the Broncos have been shockingly bad in 2019. Riding the hype train in this year, they were touted as premiership contenders (disclosure: including by me). The Broncos have won just two games. One was against a Cowboys side that is facing similar struggles and another against… Read More The young forwards are not to blame for the Broncos’ demise
The Stocky is the main forecasting tool driving the analysis on this site. It’s a simulator of the season ahead, using the Monte Carlo method and based on Elo ratings, that gives insight into the future performance of each club. My main interest has been the number of wins, as it determines ladder positions which in… Read More Analysis – Stocky vs Reality: Did your team outperform? (Pt II)
The Stocky is the main forecasting tool driving the analysis on this site. It’s a simulator of the season ahead, using the Monte Carlo method and based on Elo ratings, that gives insight into the future performance of each club. My main interest has been the number of wins, as it determines ladder positions which in… Read More Analysis – Stocky vs Reality: Did your team outperform? (Pt I)
With the conclusion of round 13, it’s half time in the 2017 NRL season. It’s the ideal time to do what everyone else is doing and look back at the season so far. This week we’re looking at the first eight clubs that come up in alphabetical order. Part II to come next week. Benchmarks There… Read More Analysis – Another bloody mid-season review (Part I)
Pythago NRL 