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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: expectation

How thirsty is your city for a premiership?

Last week, we took a look at estimating the number of premierships we expected NRL teams to have won versus the number of premierships they actually won. This was spurred by a Twitter query from AFL fan, Bill (whose name I don’t remember and won’t be searching for), who asked the same question of someone… Read More How thirsty is your city for a premiership?

March 20, 2018April 17, 2018 pythagonrl

How many NRL premierships should your team have won?

If you’re the Eels, probably a lot more than zero. But I’m getting ahead of myself. Around the start of the finals last year, The Arc posted the probabilities of each finalist winning the AFL grand final. Some guy on Twitter (let’s call him Bill because I don’t remember who it was and I’m not… Read More How many NRL premierships should your team have won?

March 15, 2018March 20, 2018 pythagonrl

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