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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: nsw cup

It’s not just the six again

The move to do away with the ‘unlimited’ tackle rule that had been played in Australia for 59 seasons was the brainchild of the urbane secretary of the Rugby Football League in England, Bill Fallowfield. The move was designed to counter what Jack McNamara in the Manchester Evening News described as the ‘evils of the… Read More It’s not just the six again

July 4, 2021May 13, 2023 pythagonrl1 Comment

Primer – WCL

WCL is a means of estimating the probability of a team winning a rugby league match at a given point in the game. The WCL system finds all instances of a given margin at a given point in the game in that league and calculates how often a team in that position won the game.… Read More Primer – WCL

May 24, 2021May 23, 2021 pythagonrl

A Shallow Dive into the minor rugby leagues in 2021

Regular readers will know that I like to keep up with all the developments in world football, not just the top level. Because so many second and third class comps were cancelled last year, we aren’t able to do a serious season preview for each one in 2021 (if I even had the time). Many… Read More A Shallow Dive into the minor rugby leagues in 2021

March 15, 2021March 15, 2021 pythagonrl

The Warrior Dolphins

Just before kick-off of the Bulldogs-Dragons spoon bowl on Monday, the Warriors dropped a big press release. Contained within is an important story with a lot of implications for rugby league, so let’s go through them. For the Broncos It wasn’t that long ago that the Broncos had six feeder clubs in the Queensland Cup.… Read More The Warrior Dolphins

June 11, 2020June 30, 2020 pythagonrl

Primer – TPR

For the third season in a row, I’m changing the player rating system. We mourn the passing of Statscore (not really) and PPG (again, not really) as we slowly converge on to a system that I can take for granted and don’t have to refine any further. The core of the system hasn’t changed. The… Read More Primer – TPR

February 24, 2020March 9, 2020 pythagonrl

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