Given that round 7 didn’t finish until Monday night, I couldn’t get the updated projections out until they’d actually finished playing. Being Tuesday, we’ll skip the updated ratings post and will do the same again next week when the projections update will come out Tuesday night after the ANZAC Day games. This week though, we… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 7, 2017
A couple of really, really big upsets in this week’s mix with the Sharks bringing the Storm’s unbeaten run to an end and the Tigers throwing the form guide out the window and taking down a lacklustre Cowboys outfit. The Dragons now top the table, matching the Storm’s 5-1 record. It’s very tight still with… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 6, 2017
It’s taken a while longer than I thought to get this going but here we are with the first post projecting the future of the 2017 season. The projections will be updated after each round on Monday. Round 5 Results Canterbury 10 (2-3) d Brisbane 7 (2-3) Manly 18 (3-2) d Sydney 12 (4-1) North Queensland 20 (4-1)… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 5, 2017
Pythagorean expectation is the idea that you can calculate a team’s winning percentage based solely on its for and against. It originated with baseball nerds but, according to its Wikipedia article, has been adapted for other sports. It is also where the name of this site came from. Pythago is basically what Pythagoras would have been if… Read More Primer – What is a Pythagorean expectation?
Note: post published on April 5 but backdated to suit the date it should have been posted. Round 4 Results Sydney 20 (4-0) d South Sydney 6 (2-2) Penrith 40 (2-2) d Newcastle 0 (1-3) Brisbane 13 (2-2) d Canberra 12 (1-3) Manly 36 (2-2) d Canterbury 0 (1-3) Cronulla 20 (2-2) d Parramatta 6 (2-2) North Queensland 32 (3-1) d Gold Coast 26 (1-3) Melbourne 22 (4-0) d Wests Tigers 14 (1-3) St George Illawarra 26… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 4, 2017
Note: post published on April 5 but backdated to suit the date it should have been posted. Round 3 Results Melbourne 14 (3-0) d Brisbane 12 (1-2) Canterbury 24 (1-2) d New Zealand 12 (1-2) Gold Coast 26 (1-2) d Parramatta 14 (2-1) South Sydney 24 (2-1) d Newcastle 18 (1-2) Sydney 14 (3-0) d Penrith 12 (1-2) Manly 30 (1-2) d North Queensland 8 (2-1) Canberra 46 (1-2) d Wests Tigers 6 (1-2) St… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 3, 2017
Note: post published on April 5 but backdated to suit the date it should have been posted. Round 2 Results Sydney 28 (2-0) d Canterbury 24 (0-2) Melbourne 26 (2-0) d New Zealand 10 (1-1) North Queensland 21 (2-0) d Brisbane 20 (1-1) Newcastle 34 (1-1) d Gold Coast 26 (0-2) South Sydney 38 (1-1) d Manly 18 (0-2) Cronulla 42 (1-1) d Canberra 16 (0-2) Penrith 36 (1-1) d Wests Tigers 2 (1-1)… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 2, 2017
Note: post published on April 5 but backdated to suit the date it should have been posted. Round 1 Results Brisbane 26 (1-0) d Cronulla 18 (0-1) Melbourne 12 (1-0) d Canterbury 8 (0-1) Wests Tigers 34 (1-0) d South Sydney 18 (0-1) St George Illawarra 42 (1-0) d Penrith 10 (0-1) North Queensland 20 (1-0) d Canberra 16 (0-1) Sydney 32 (1-0) d Gold Coast 18 (0-1)… Read More NRL Projections – Round 1, 2017
Pythago NRL 