Round 8 does not offer too many difficult to judge matchups. For example, the two bottom teams are facing off against two in the top eight. Probably the most interesting game features the current ladder leaders, St George Illawarra, facing off against fourth placed Sydney City – their first real test of the season. Penrith might be able… Read More NRL Tips – Round 8, 2017
Some interesting matchups this round. The usually highly fancied Cowboys are facing off against the Dragons and the guys with the early form, the Sea Eagles, are taking on the Storm, who are probably looking to right the wrongs of a poor performance against the Sharks. At the other end of the ladder, the Tigers-Eels game… Read More NRL Tips – Round 7, 2017
As in round 5, the winners went up and the losers went down in all systems. The Raiders, Dragons, Sharks and the Storm are the highest rated teams, by varying leads and in different orders depending on the system. Amongst the biggest, less obvious losers are the Cowboys (now down 57 points in Euclid since… Read More NRL ELO Ratings Update – Round 6, 2017
I am very skeptical that anything good can come of tipping from the ELO models and my record this year is testament to that. Before I get into it, I’d like to reiterate that I am no expert. Plainly. “Success” Eratos is, contrary to all common sense, showing the way forward this year. I, on… Read More NRL Tips – Round 6, 2017
Part of the regular posting will include weekly updates on the ELO model ratings coming out of Euclid (best predictor), Archimedes (short term form) and Eratosthenes (long term class). If you want Thales or Hipparchus, you only have to ask. Unlike the Projections, I’m not sure I’ll bother going back to do rounds 1-4. Here they… Read More NRL ELO Ratings Update – Round 5, 2017
Short answer: with a lot of time spent in Excel and Google Sheets. Long answer: It depends on what you want to do. I introduced the Elo rating system in a previous primer. Now it’s time to put it to work. I think most sport’s fans would agree with the following definitions of form and class… Read More Primer – How do Elo models work?
Note: this was published on April 5 but backdated to the day it should have been posted. It will be plainly obvious that I did not change the tips to make me look better. “Success” Finally, getting slightly less ouchy. Draw
Note: this was published on April 5 but backdated to the day it should have been posted. It will be plainly obvious that I did not change the tips to make me look better. “Success” Ouchier. Draw
Note: this was published on April 5 but backdated to the day it should have been posted. It will be plainly obvious that I did not change the tips to make me look better. “Success” Ouch. Draw
Note: this was published on April 5 but backdated to the day it should have been posted. It will be plainly obvious that I did not change the tips to make me look better. “Success” Draw
Pythago NRL 