NRL ELO Ratings Update – Round 5, 2017

Part of the regular posting will include weekly updates on the ELO model ratings coming out of Euclid (best predictor), Archimedes (short term form) and Eratosthenes (long term class). If you want Thales or Hipparchus, you only have to ask. Unlike the Projections, I’m not sure I’ll bother going back to do rounds 1-4.

Here they are after Round 5:


Without exception, the winners went up and the losers went down. Souths and the Goldie have slipped from average at season’s start to well below now while City, Melbourne and SGI are well on their way to establishing dominant ratings this season with good gains since round 1.

rd5-2017 euclid


The Titans, Knights and Tigers we all expect to be low down but the Broncos on 1465 is about as low as those guys go. Dragons and Roosters starting to push for 1600 but still well behind the Storm. The Sharks’ and Cowboys’ ratings are holding up well in the 1530s.

rd5-2017 archimedes


Somehow the biggest improvers this season are the Storm. A rough end to the last campaign is being reversed. Meanwhile the Titans and Tigers are suffering from repeat lackluster performances.

rd5-2017 eratos