I am very skeptical that anything good can come of tipping from the ELO models and my record this year is testament to that. Before I get into it, I’d like to reiterate that I am no expert. Plainly.

“Success”

Eratos is, contrary to all common sense, showing the way forward this year. I, on the other hand, am less accurate than a coin toss, the lowest possible bar that I will manage hurdle over eventually.

Draw

 Sydney (4-1) @  Brisbane (2-3)

 Canterbury (2-3) @  Newcastle (1-4)

 South Sydney (2-3) @  Penrith (2-3)

 St George Illawarra (4-1) @  Manly (3-2)

 Canberra (2-3) @  Gold Coast (1-4)

 Wests Tigers (1-4) @  North Queensland (4-1)

 Parramatta (2-3) @  New Zealand (2-3)

 Cronulla (3-2) @  Melbourne (5-0)

Tips

Looks like a pretty straightforward round with plenty of consensus from the collection of idiots with tipping rates below 50%. The only split round is Newcastle vs Canterbury with the home ground advantage tipping it in the Knights’ favour for Euclid and Archimedes. Me, the more reliable Eratosthenes and I think everyone else knows better.