It’s a short post from me but it’s a big weekend of football: Most games for the QCup will be on Thursday night with the Easter weekend ahead (I’ll be at Langlands watching the Magpies get pummelled) Top of the table clash between Sydney and Melbourne on Friday night Port Moresby is hosting a triple… Read More NRL Tips – Round 6, 2019
Interesting to note this week that the first half of the NRL round will be played in Queensland, with Souths having taken a home game against the Warriors to the Sunshine Coast while Brisbane, Gold Coast and North Queensland all have home games. Easts and the Sunshine Coast Falcons will be playing what I assume… Read More NRL Tips – Round 5, 2019
The photo below is unrelated to this week’s tips (except for the first one). The NRLW doesn’t start for months. Well, that of course assumes that the crippling $400,000 per season that it costs to run a women’s team isn’t too big a burden for the biggest clubs in the competition that are supported by an… Read More NRL Tips – Round 4, 2019
I made a decision a little while ago to forego the weekly recaps. Between doing weekly analysis pieces and a more time consuming tips process, there isn’t a lot of time left over and sprinting through stats every Sunday evening to get a post together for Monday isn’t much fun. It also was difficult to… Read More NRL & ISC Recap – March 2019
It’s very early days in the 2019 premiership but injuries seem to be taking their toll early. Medial collateral ligaments have replaced syndesmosis as the blessure du jour. We haven’t even seen Kyle Feldt or Wade Graham yet and now we’re missing the likes of Jason Taumalolo, Tyson Frizell, Ash Taylor and Brett Morris. For our… Read More NRL Tips – Round 3, 2019
I mentioned during last week’s tips that the rating systems take a while – give or take six weeks – to dial in to a new season. I was asked during the week what the Jury’s tipping rates look like across the year. I thought that was a good question, so I looked into it:… Read More NRL Tips – Round 2, 2019
But first, a refresher This year I’m going to be providing tips for each round of the NRL and the ISC using four mathematical rating systems. None of the four metrics rely on subjective human assessments and instead, each rating system takes in cold, hard numbers and spits out tips. While each tool has a… Read More NRL Tips – Round 1, 2019
Footy’s back, baby! You know, if you don’t count Super League (#COYW awwwoouuu). Anyway, the Intrust Super Cup returns for another year of gritty Queensland/somewhat international rugby league action. I had intended to write a season preview for the QCup but I had a few problems with it. One was a lack of time, another… Read More ISC Tips – Round 1, 2019
Last year, I did a series of graphs which told each NRL team’s history in the top flight since 1998. Despite expectations, it was pretty well received compared to the one I was expecting to generate a bit of interest. Now that we have all of the Queensland Cup results, I thought I’d run the same… Read More A complete history of the Queensland Cup
Poseidon ratings are a new team rating system for both the NRL and the Queensland Cup. For those who don’t have time to read 2000+ words, here’s the short version: the purpose of Poseidon ratings is to assess the offensive and defensive capabilities of rugby league teams in terms of the number of tries they… Read More Primer – Poseidon ratings
Pythago NRL 