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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Category: Analysis & Opinion

Who has the softest NRL draw in 2019?

The current format of the NRL doesn’t allow for each team to play each other twice. Doing that would mean extending the season by another six weeks and, even if they players were up for that (which they are not), as an armchair analyst, I don’t think I could cope. This means that not every… Read More Who has the softest NRL draw in 2019?

March 12, 2019April 1, 2019 pythagonrl

A deep dive for each team’s 2019 NRL season

With the first Maori versus Indigenous All-stars game and another edition of the World Club Challenge in the history books, our attention turns to the NRL season ahead. As with last year, I’m going to do a SWOP – Strength, Weakness, Opportunity and Prospect – analysis for each team. My general philosophy for judging a team’s… Read More A deep dive for each team’s 2019 NRL season

February 27, 2019March 26, 2019 pythagonrl

An updated complete history of the NRL (2019 edition)

Updated on the back of last year’s successful use of graphs to convey the historical progress of NRL clubs, this year’s complete history now includes the stats and Eratosthenes movements from the 2018 season for each club.

February 5, 2019March 13, 2019 pythagonrl

A complete history of the Queensland Cup

Last year, I did a series of graphs which told each NRL team’s history in the top flight since 1998. Despite expectations, it was pretty well received compared to the one I was expecting to generate a bit of interest. Now that we have all of the Queensland Cup results, I thought I’d run the same… Read More A complete history of the Queensland Cup

January 28, 2019March 8, 2019 pythagonrl

What’s new in 2019

I had meant to do some wrap-up posts after I got back from my honeymoon but it felt like the moment had passed, being two or three weeks after the grand final, and I didn’t have much to say other than the navel gazing stuff that people really don’t care about it. This tweet sums… Read More What’s new in 2019

January 14, 2019February 5, 2019 pythagonrl

Stats of Six: Is 2018 the worst top eight in NRL finals history?

Using the same format I used during the rep weekend, this is the finals preview-ish post. I didn’t get to do all the analysis I wanted to because I’ve run out of time. By the time this gets published, I should be somewhere in or around California starting my honeymoon, which I think should probably… Read More Stats of Six: Is 2018 the worst top eight in NRL finals history?

September 4, 2018January 22, 2019 pythagonrl

PythagoNRL’s 3/4 NRL Season Review

Why a three-quarter season review? We could ask Penrith the very same question but for me, it’s because I was too busy with life around round 12 and I will be on holidays and away from the computer by round 25, so this is the only real opportunity I get to pull together a post… Read More PythagoNRL’s 3/4 NRL Season Review

July 19, 2018January 17, 2019 pythagonrl

How much does Origin affect NRL club form?

Sometimes I take reader requests, although sometimes I can’t always meet the brief. This was the closest I could do for a stat analysis of the next Immortal candidates. Sorry. pic.twitter.com/96atyhaF0G — Liam (@pythagoNRL) June 26, 2018 And sometimes I read or hear someone ask a question and think, “hey, that’s an interesting idea. I’ll… Read More How much does Origin affect NRL club form?

July 10, 2018July 19, 2018 pythagonrl

Stats of Six – Rep/Origin Weekend, 2018

Not being a typical NRL round weekend, I find myself at a loss for a Thursday post so I thought I’d toss a bunch of little things out there – six, to be specific – and see what sticks. I don’t expect this to be a regular format but it might come in handy to get… Read More Stats of Six – Rep/Origin Weekend, 2018

June 21, 2018June 29, 2018 pythagonrl

Spinning the rugby league roulette wheel

The biggest problem I face in trying to work through rugby league analytics is a lack of useful, reliable, easy to source data to analyse. For this post, I had to do it myself. I recorded 1,000 sets of six from the 2018 season so far, ranging from a Titans-Warriors pre-season game and finishing during… Read More Spinning the rugby league roulette wheel

June 19, 2018May 13, 2023 pythagonrl

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