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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

NRL Recap – Round 4, 2018

Funny game, rugby league. It’s a funny, funny game. I will say that what’s not funny is the Titans beating the Broncos at Suncorp for the first time in eleven years. I mean, it’s probably funny to people who hate Brisbane but to them I say: sitting in the stands, surrounded by kids and being… Read More NRL Recap – Round 4, 2018

April 3, 2018April 10, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 4, 2018

Coming into the Easter long weekend and the competition is starting to take shape. Despite protests from many, I had a reasonably good week with the tipping in round 3 but still trail my Greek colleagues. To be fair, none of us are doing particularly well but hopefully things will settle down soon and the… Read More NRL Tips – Round 4, 2018

March 28, 2018April 5, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 3, 2018

Two fairy tales ended over the weekend. The Tigers’ fell away in fairly controversial circumstances with a golden point penalty awarded against them, ending their chances of going 3-0 in an extremely tough start to the season. The Knights were more cleanly dispatched by the Roosters. The latter are now a worry with their big… Read More NRL Recap – Round 3, 2018

March 26, 2018April 3, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 3, 2018

Round 3 is only thirty-six hours or so away and it’s time to tip. Unlike last week, where both Greeks completely agreed, there is a fair bit of disagreement for the upcoming fixtures. Last year, you would’ve been well advised to listen to Eratosthenes but Archimedes is off to a great start in 2018, having nailed… Read More NRL Tips – Round 3, 2018

March 21, 2018March 28, 2018 pythagonrl

How thirsty is your city for a premiership?

Last week, we took a look at estimating the number of premierships we expected NRL teams to have won versus the number of premierships they actually won. This was spurred by a Twitter query from AFL fan, Bill (whose name I don’t remember and won’t be searching for), who asked the same question of someone… Read More How thirsty is your city for a premiership?

March 20, 2018April 17, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 2, 2018

The NRL machine continues to chug along, churning out mysterious results that don’t align at all with the previous week. That is, unless you are Canterbury or Souths, in which case, you’ve made your bed and 2018 will see you lie in it. The Tigers are proving that not only do coaches matter but on-paper… Read More NRL Recap – Round 2, 2018

March 19, 2018March 26, 2018 pythagonrl

How many NRL premierships should your team have won?

If you’re the Eels, probably a lot more than zero. But I’m getting ahead of myself. Around the start of the finals last year, The Arc posted the probabilities of each finalist winning the AFL grand final. Some guy on Twitter (let’s call him Bill because I don’t remember who it was and I’m not… Read More How many NRL premierships should your team have won?

March 15, 2018March 20, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 2, 2018

Round 1 delivered a wild weekend of results, with a huge swing to home teams. Archimedes was all over that, courtesy of the gaps between teams being overwhelmed by the home ground advantage. Consequently, it got lucky while Eratosthenes and I suffered with what were logical but ultimately, bad choices. This week is a new… Read More NRL Tips – Round 2, 2018

March 14, 2018March 21, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 1, 2018

We’re finally off and racing in 2018. Every NRL fan has finally seen their team take the field in anger for the first time. For most, it wasn’t a pretty sight with a lot of polish still to be put on their respective games. That said, there were flashes of what is to come from… Read More NRL Recap – Round 1, 2018

March 12, 2018March 19, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips (and ISC) – Round 1, 2018

Rugby league is back, baby. It’s good again. Awoouu (wolf Howl) Yes, the rugby league tipping equivalent of a dril tweet has returned for another season of being really bad at tipping but not so bad that you could take it to the bank as a contrarian indicator. Before we get down to business, there are… Read More NRL Tips (and ISC) – Round 1, 2018

March 8, 2018March 14, 2018 pythagonrl

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