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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Analysis – Your team and their finals appearances

There was a remark on Twitter a while back that Mitchell Moses had left Wests because he wanted to play finals footy but had chosen to go to the only club that had been without a final appearance longer than the Tigers. That didn’t seem right but I looked into it and it was true.… Read More Analysis – Your team and their finals appearances

July 27, 2017July 28, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 21, 2017

We’re getting down to the wire, with only a handful of rounds left to run until finals time. While the finals places may be more or less decided, unless you’re a Panthers or Eels fan, there’s still a lot to play for. The better teams are looking to secure a pathway through the finals that… Read More NRL Tips – Round 21, 2017

July 26, 2017August 1, 2017 pythagonrl

Club Report – Gold Coast Titans

Background The Gold Coast Titans have only been in the NRL since 2007. The Titans franchise are the most recent iteration of top-level rugby league’s attempts to crack the Gold Coast market, following in the footsteps of the Giants (1988-89), Seagulls (1990-95) and Chargers (1996-98). Gold Coast peaked in 2009 and 2010, managing top four… Read More Club Report – Gold Coast Titans

July 25, 2017January 3, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Projections Update – Round 20, 2017

The Broncos kicked off round 20 by throttling the Bulldogs. Brisbane were on from the gun and Canterbury were in the contest for the first twenty minutes before conceding late tries before half time. The Broncos returned after the break firing and after securing a series of repeat sets in the third quarter, ran the… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 20, 2017

July 24, 2017August 1, 2017 pythagonrl

Analysis – Golden Point is (close to) a coin toss

In 2003, the Golden Point system was introduced to decide games that were drawn at full time. Prior to that, instead of the two points awarded to the outright winner, the drawn teams would split the points and take home one competition point each. Golden Point continues play for a further ten minutes after full… Read More Analysis – Golden Point is (close to) a coin toss

July 20, 2017June 23, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 20, 2017

Let’s be honest. This round doesn’t seem to offer much in the way of comedic potential and I use “comedic” in its loosest possible sense because I’m not actually funny. But I try hard and isn’t that really what life is about? No, it’s not. It’s about getting tips right. Round 20 has eight lopsided… Read More NRL Tips – Round 20, 2017

July 19, 2017August 1, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Projections Update – Round 19, 2017

Nathan Cleary confirmed his future superstar status by carrying the Penrith Panthers on his back, leading them to a win over the Warriors to open round 19. His elephantine performance had Penrith in control for the last sixty minutes of the game leading to only the Warriors’ second loss at Mt Smart Stadium this year. Canberra… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 19, 2017

July 17, 2017July 23, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL (& Origin) Tips – Round 19, 2017

Despite being a post-Origin round, if everyone sticks to the form guide for a change, it should be a somewhat easy round to tip. That said, I’ve had a shocking year so I don’t doubt that there will be some “upsets” as I would prefer to think of them but what everyone else calls “blindingly… Read More NRL (& Origin) Tips – Round 19, 2017

July 12, 2017August 1, 2017 pythagonrl

Club Report – St George Illawarra Dragons

Background St George Illawarra were the first club to form from a merger of the 1980s expansion team Illawarra Steelers and the second most successful NSWRL premiership side of the St George Dragons. The team met early success in their first year, reaching the 1999 grand final and going down to the then newly minted… Read More Club Report – St George Illawarra Dragons

July 11, 2017January 3, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Projections Update – Round 18, 2017

Round 18 was a round of 3.5 upsets. It opened in Sydney with the “fiercest” local derby rugby league has to offer. Souths reverted to their mean performance of the year and Easts, minus a few Origin stars, managed to keep a lid on their opponent’s dysfunctional attack. I think under normal circumstances, the Roosters… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 18, 2017

July 10, 2017August 1, 2017 pythagonrl

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