The photo below is unrelated to this week’s tips (except for the first one). The NRLW doesn’t start for months. Well, that of course assumes that the crippling $400,000 per season that it costs to run a women’s team isn’t too big a burden for the biggest clubs in the competition that are supported by an… Read More NRL Tips – Round 4, 2019
It’s very early days in the 2019 premiership but injuries seem to be taking their toll early. Medial collateral ligaments have replaced syndesmosis as the blessure du jour. We haven’t even seen Kyle Feldt or Wade Graham yet and now we’re missing the likes of Jason Taumalolo, Tyson Frizell, Ash Taylor and Brett Morris. For our… Read More NRL Tips – Round 3, 2019
With the wet start to the 2019 season, there’s discussion about the tactics and competence of teams playing the wet. The Bulldogs seem to have the best reputation for playing in the wet, although I’m not sure where this originated from. After some prompting on social media, I decided to do a bit of investigation.… Read More Which NRL team performs best in the wet?
I mentioned during last week’s tips that the rating systems take a while – give or take six weeks – to dial in to a new season. I was asked during the week what the Jury’s tipping rates look like across the year. I thought that was a good question, so I looked into it:… Read More NRL Tips – Round 2, 2019
If you read my tips for round 1, you would have seen the Poseidon rating making an appearance. The purpose of the Poseidon rating system is to look at each team’s offensive and defensive capabilities separately, as well as their home and away performance, to see if their winning record is concealing strengths or weaknesses.… Read More A glance at the NRL with Poseidon ratings
But first, a refresher This year I’m going to be providing tips for each round of the NRL and the ISC using four mathematical rating systems. None of the four metrics rely on subjective human assessments and instead, each rating system takes in cold, hard numbers and spits out tips. While each tool has a… Read More NRL Tips – Round 1, 2019
Poseidon ratings are a new team rating system for both the NRL and the Queensland Cup. For those who don’t have time to read 2000+ words, here’s the short version: the purpose of Poseidon ratings is to assess the offensive and defensive capabilities of rugby league teams in terms of the number of tries they… Read More Primer – Poseidon ratings
The biggest problem I face in trying to work through rugby league analytics is a lack of useful, reliable, easy to source data to analyse. For this post, I had to do it myself. I recorded 1,000 sets of six from the 2018 season so far, ranging from a Titans-Warriors pre-season game and finishing during… Read More Spinning the rugby league roulette wheel
Pythago NRL 