The Greeks is the collective name given to a series of Elo rating models for tracking performance of rugby league teams and forecasting the outcomes of games. I usually refer to them as if the philosopher himself was making the prediction, even though the Greeks have mostly been dead for a couple thousand years and… Read More Primer – Who are the Greeks? 2018 Edition
This is the last projections update for the year. It’s come around so fast. While I realise there’s still three weeks of finals left, in reality there’s three games left after next weekend. The Stocky is not great at dealing with small sample sizes of games, as evidenced by its relative lack of performance towards… Read More NRL Projections Update – Finals Wk 1, 2017
Results Brisbane 20 (16-8) d North Queensland 10 (13-11) Parramatta 22 (16-8) d South Sydney 16 (9-15) Sydney City 20 (17-7) d Gold Coast 16 (7-17) Manly 28 (14-10) d Penrith 12 (13-11) Melbourne 32 (20-4) d Canberra 6 (11-13) Cronulla 26 (15-9) d Newcastle 18 (5-19) Canterbury 26 (10-14) d St George Illawarra 20 (12-12) Wests Tigers 28 (7-17) d New Zealand… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 26, 2017
Results Parramatta 52 (15-8) d Brisbane 34 (15-8) Canberra 46 (11-12) d Newcastle 28 (5-18) North Queensland 22 (13-10) d Wests Tigers 14 (6-17) Canterbury 26 (9-14) d Gold Coast 14 (7-16) Melbourne 64 (19-4) d South Sydney 6 (9-14) Sydney City 16 (16-7) d Cronulla 14 (14-9) Manly 22 (13-10) d New Zealand 21 (7-16) St George Illawarra 16 (12-11)… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 25, 2017
Results Parramatta 30 (14-8) d Gold Coast 8 (7-15) South Sydney 36 (9-13) d New Zealand 18 (7-15) Brisbane 24 (15-7) d St George Illawarra 12 (11-11) Melbourne 44 (18-4) d Newcastle 12 (5-17) Sydney City 22 (15-7) d Wests Tigers 18 (6-16) Cronulla 26 (14-8) d North Queensland 16 (12-10) Penrith 26 (13-9) d Canberra 22 (10-12) Canterbury 30 (8-14) d Manly… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 24, 2017
Results South Sydney 28 (8-13) d Canterbury 14 (7-14) Newcastle 29 (5-16) d Parramatta 10 (13-8) Brisbane 32 (14-7) d Cronulla 10 (13-8) St George Illawarra 42 (11-10) d Gold Coast 16 (7-14) Melbourne 16 (17-4) d Sydney City 13 (14-7) Penrith 24 (12-9) d North Queensland 16 (12-9) Canberra 36 (10-11) d New Zealand 16 (7-14) Wests Tigers 30 (6-15) d Manly… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 23, 2017
I’m running a bit short on time this week, so I’ll dispense with the usual round up of matches and dive straight into it. Actually, I’ll take one moment to say that I watched five of the eight games on the weekend (missed the Saturday fixtures) and the Souths-Saints game was the best of the… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 22, 2017
I think rugby league historians prefer the expression “dour” when they really mean “boring” game. The Panthers-Bulldogs match on Thursday night will not be making much of an impression in the record books and so I think we’re safe to use the expression “boring”. The teams went to the break at Pepper Stadium even but… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 21, 2017
The Broncos kicked off round 20 by throttling the Bulldogs. Brisbane were on from the gun and Canterbury were in the contest for the first twenty minutes before conceding late tries before half time. The Broncos returned after the break firing and after securing a series of repeat sets in the third quarter, ran the… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 20, 2017
Nathan Cleary confirmed his future superstar status by carrying the Penrith Panthers on his back, leading them to a win over the Warriors to open round 19. His elephantine performance had Penrith in control for the last sixty minutes of the game leading to only the Warriors’ second loss at Mt Smart Stadium this year. Canberra… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 19, 2017
Pythago NRL 