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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: rugby league

NRL Tips – Round 19, 2018

Now that Origin is over and we’re in the run to the finals, it’s time to take a quick look at how the tipsters are performing. Our NRL tippers are doing comparatively well and have more or less stuck together. Eratosthenes leads for the second year in a row on 61.7% (84/136) with the Jury… Read More NRL Tips – Round 19, 2018

July 18, 2018July 28, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 18, 2018

With the late game on Sunday night, itself because there was no Thursday game thanks to Origin, I decided to push this out to Tuesday. That means that if you wanted a recap of the individual games, you would’ve read one by now. So that’s bought me an extra day to swallow my feelings about the… Read More NRL Recap – Round 18, 2018

July 17, 2018July 24, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 18, 2018

If you’re interested in tonight’s final Origin game, I think Queensland will win. There’s no particular reason and I’m well aware that Slater’s track record in milestone games is not flash but I don’t think the Blues will turn up with the intensity required to actually get the sweep. They were perilously close to losing… Read More NRL Tips – Round 18, 2018

July 11, 2018July 11, 2018 pythagonrl

How much does Origin affect NRL club form?

Sometimes I take reader requests, although sometimes I can’t always meet the brief. This was the closest I could do for a stat analysis of the next Immortal candidates. Sorry. pic.twitter.com/96atyhaF0G — Liam (@pythagoNRL) June 26, 2018 And sometimes I read or hear someone ask a question and think, “hey, that’s an interesting idea. I’ll… Read More How much does Origin affect NRL club form?

July 10, 2018July 19, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 17, 2018

The short round deserves a short recap. Melbourne and St George Illawarra played out a defence-less try-fest that was extremely entertaining, although not a game for the purists, and the Dragons left Melbourne with another loss. Penrith demolished the Warriors at home with the New Zealanders not being offered a look in against their Origin… Read More NRL Recap – Round 17, 2018

July 9, 2018July 17, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 17, 2018

I’m still out of sync after Rep Round but I at least got my tips in before the kick-off of the first game. In stark contrast to the other half round, round 17 offers some interesting match-ups and, with only two games in Sydney, we might actually see some people in the stands. And because… Read More NRL Tips – Round 17, 2018

July 5, 2018July 18, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 16, 2018

I don’t even know why we bother playing the full eighty minutes (and by “we play” I mean “I watch, you do”). Most of the games this weekend were decided in the last fifteen to twenty minutes, negating the previous hour of play. And in most of those cases, the previous hour did little to… Read More NRL Recap – Round 16, 2018

July 2, 2018July 9, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 16, 2018

I was enjoying the week off that the rep round afforded me from doing tips and recaps. But before I knew it, I had some tipping to do and I was out on Wednesday and late home on Thursday. As a result, this will probably be completed sometime after Dragons-Eels and published Friday morning. Normally,… Read More NRL Tips – Round 16, 2018

June 29, 2018July 5, 2018 pythagonrl

Spinning the rugby league roulette wheel

The biggest problem I face in trying to work through rugby league analytics is a lack of useful, reliable, easy to source data to analyse. For this post, I had to do it myself. I recorded 1,000 sets of six from the 2018 season so far, ranging from a Titans-Warriors pre-season game and finishing during… Read More Spinning the rugby league roulette wheel

June 19, 2018May 13, 2023 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 15, 2018

It wasn’t a particularly close round with a number of teams stamping their authority on the opposition. I don’t actually have a lot to say about it other than repeating “x team was in control against y team but may have let in a few late tries”. It wasn’t the greatest advertisement for rugby league… Read More NRL Recap – Round 15, 2018

June 18, 2018July 2, 2018 pythagonrl

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