When I first started getting elbow-deep into NRL numbers, one of my favourite things to think about was expansion. The NRL has had the same sixteen club format since 2007. The Gold Coast Titans were the first new team to be added to the competition since 1998 brought us the Melbourne Storm. The idea of… Read More Analysis – Where to for NRL expansion according to Cap
Round 11 was about as easy as they get. A lot of games came down as expected and unlike round 10, there weren’t any major deviations from the form book. “Success” A good round for all. Six of eight for me and Eratosthenes while the others managed seven from eight. The Greeks tipped Penrith over Newcastle… Read More NRL Tips – Round 12, 2017
The answer is Geelong, closely followed by Townsville: Did you want some more explanation or the graph is enough? The graph is fine? Well, I’ll just sit here in case you change your mind. Here’s an appropriate moment from The Simpsons:
Round 10 had up and downs with a couple of surprises, a couple of line balls and a few dead certs coming through. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong end of almost all of them. “Success” It was a rough round for everyone except for Eratosthenes, who managed five from eight. Euclid and I scored… Read More NRL Tips – Round 11, 2017
There’s nothing quite like a Wizard of Oz reference to title a post on a rugby league blog but here we are to discuss Australia’s third and best city, Brisbane. I guess I, like most Australians outside the SCAM triangle, have a chip on my shoulder about the relative importance afforded to Sydney and Melbourne… Read More Analysis – “Lions and Broncos and Bears! Oh my!” – Brisbane’s footy attendances
Round 9 was pretty typical, garnering roughly five from eight correct tips. I suggested that there might be some trouble getting it right, and I was right about that, but the trouble came from surprising areas, e.g. the Warriors sneaking home against the Roosters in the dying minutes of the game. “Success” I’d like to… Read More NRL Tips – Round 10, 2017
Last time, I introduced the concept of Cap. Cap is the ratio of the number of people in the area of a game compared to the number of people who actually turn up over the season. In this case, the lower the Cap (i.e. the more people who attend compared to the size of the local… Read More Analysis – An historical comparison of rugby league and AFL attendances using Cap
Round 8 seemed to be a return to normal with a few upsets bringing us back to earth after a very successful Round 7. Round 9 will be more of the same with some even match-ups, including a top of the table clash between the Dragons and Storm on Sunday arvo and a questionable game… Read More NRL Tips – Round 9, 2017
The start of the AFL season ushered in a series of gushing articles about how wonderful the nearly 45,000 average attendance for the first round was and how the NRL’s struggle to get even 15,000 to their games was an indictment on the code and a sign that its demise was imminent. This is the… Read More Analysis – The pissing contest that is comparing average attendances
Round 8 does not offer too many difficult to judge matchups. For example, the two bottom teams are facing off against two in the top eight. Probably the most interesting game features the current ladder leaders, St George Illawarra, facing off against fourth placed Sydney City – their first real test of the season. Penrith might be able… Read More NRL Tips – Round 8, 2017
Pythago NRL 