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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: stats

NRL Tips – Round 5, 2019

Interesting to note this week that the first half of the NRL round will be played in Queensland, with Souths having taken a home game against the Warriors to the Sunshine Coast while Brisbane, Gold Coast and North Queensland all have home games. Easts and the Sunshine Coast Falcons will be playing what I assume… Read More NRL Tips – Round 5, 2019

April 11, 2019April 18, 2019 pythagonrl

Rolling the rugby league dice: the value of the short kick off

At one end of the scale, we have every NRL team. At the top level, we only see the short kick off when the clock is winding down and the team kicking off desperately needs points to remain in contention for the win. At the other end of the scale, we have the Ipswich Jets,… Read More Rolling the rugby league dice: the value of the short kick off

April 9, 2019April 30, 2019 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 4, 2019

The photo below is unrelated to this week’s tips (except for the first one). The NRLW doesn’t start for months. Well, that of course assumes that the crippling $400,000 per season that it costs to run a women’s team isn’t too big a burden for the biggest clubs in the competition that are supported by an… Read More NRL Tips – Round 4, 2019

April 4, 2019April 15, 2019 pythagonrl

The April premiership

By the time you read this, it should be April, which means the NRL is on the cusp of handing out the April Premiership, the third most important, and the least existent, trophy of the season. The term “April premiers” seems to have a few variations in meaning. Typically, it’s a team that starts particularly… Read More The April premiership

April 2, 2019April 15, 2019 pythagonrl

NRL & ISC Recap – March 2019

I made a decision a little while ago to forego the weekly recaps. Between doing weekly analysis pieces and a more time consuming tips process, there isn’t a lot of time left over and sprinting through stats every Sunday evening to get a post together for Monday isn’t much fun. It also was difficult to… Read More NRL & ISC Recap – March 2019

April 1, 2019April 27, 2019 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 3, 2019

It’s very early days in the 2019 premiership but injuries seem to be taking their toll early. Medial collateral ligaments have replaced syndesmosis as the blessure du jour. We haven’t even seen Kyle Feldt or Wade Graham yet and now we’re missing the likes of Jason Taumalolo, Tyson Frizell, Ash Taylor and Brett Morris. For our… Read More NRL Tips – Round 3, 2019

March 28, 2019April 5, 2019 pythagonrl

Which NRL team performs best in the wet?

With the wet start to the 2019 season, there’s discussion about the tactics and competence of teams playing the wet. The Bulldogs seem to have the best reputation for playing in the wet, although I’m not sure where this originated from. After some prompting on social media, I decided to do a bit of investigation.… Read More Which NRL team performs best in the wet?

March 26, 2019April 2, 2019 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 2, 2019

I mentioned during last week’s tips that the rating systems take a while – give or take six weeks – to dial in to a new season. I was asked during the week what the Jury’s tipping rates look like across the year. I thought that was a good question, so I looked into it:… Read More NRL Tips – Round 2, 2019

March 21, 2019March 31, 2019 pythagonrl

A glance at the NRL with Poseidon ratings

If you read my tips for round 1, you would have seen the Poseidon rating making an appearance. The purpose of the Poseidon rating system is to look at each team’s offensive and defensive capabilities separately, as well as their home and away performance, to see if their winning record is concealing strengths or weaknesses.… Read More A glance at the NRL with Poseidon ratings

March 20, 2019March 26, 2019 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 1, 2019

But first, a refresher This year I’m going to be providing tips for each round of the NRL and the ISC using four mathematical rating systems. None of the four metrics rely on subjective human assessments and instead, each rating system takes in cold, hard numbers and spits out tips. While each tool has a… Read More NRL Tips – Round 1, 2019

March 14, 2019March 21, 2019 pythagonrl

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