NRL Projections Update – Round 26, 2017

Results  Brisbane 20 (16-8) d  North Queensland 10 (13-11)  Parramatta 22 (16-8) d  South Sydney 16 (9-15)  Sydney City 20 (17-7) d  Gold Coast 16 (7-17)  Manly 28 (14-10) d  Penrith 12 (13-11)  Melbourne 32 (20-4) d  Canberra 6 (11-13)  Cronulla 26 (15-9) d  Newcastle 18 (5-19)  Canterbury 26 (10-14) d  St George Illawarra 20 (12-12)  Wests Tigers 28 (7-17) d  New Zealand… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 26, 2017

NRL Projections Update – Round 25, 2017

Results  Parramatta 52 (15-8) d  Brisbane 34 (15-8)  Canberra 46 (11-12) d  Newcastle 28 (5-18)  North Queensland 22 (13-10) d  Wests Tigers 14 (6-17)  Canterbury 26 (9-14) d  Gold Coast 14 (7-16)  Melbourne 64 (19-4) d  South Sydney 6 (9-14)  Sydney City 16 (16-7) d  Cronulla 14 (14-9)  Manly 22 (13-10) d  New Zealand 21 (7-16)  St George Illawarra 16 (12-11)… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 25, 2017

Analysis – Stocky vs Reality: Did your team outperform? (Pt II)

The Stocky is the main forecasting tool driving the analysis on this site. It’s a simulator of the season ahead, using the Monte Carlo method and based on Elo ratings, that gives insight into the future performance of each club. My main interest has been the number of wins, as it determines ladder positions which in… Read More Analysis – Stocky vs Reality: Did your team outperform? (Pt II)

NRL Projections Update – Round 24, 2017

Results  Parramatta 30 (14-8) d  Gold Coast 8 (7-15)  South Sydney 36 (9-13) d  New Zealand 18 (7-15)  Brisbane 24 (15-7) d  St George Illawarra 12 (11-11)  Melbourne 44 (18-4) d  Newcastle 12 (5-17)  Sydney City 22 (15-7) d  Wests Tigers 18 (6-16)  Cronulla 26 (14-8) d  North Queensland 16 (12-10)  Penrith 26 (13-9) d  Canberra 22 (10-12)  Canterbury 30 (8-14) d  Manly… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 24, 2017