Background Wests Tigers have won one premiership. The year was 2005 and a young Benji Marshall side-stepped an entire league to lead his team to an extremely unlikely victory over grand final debutants, the North Queensland Cowboys. The Tigers had finished the regular season in fourth, behind the Eels, Broncos and Dragons. The Tigers were… Read More Club Report – Wests Tigers
We did it, guys! We made it to the end of the season. If you’re like me, it’s been a slog. It’s certainly the most committed I’ve been to watching large, sweaty men smashing into each other for many years. Making it so far has not been aided by my truly terrible tipping performance but… Read More NRL Tips – Round 26, 2017
Results Parramatta 52 (15-8) d Brisbane 34 (15-8) Canberra 46 (11-12) d Newcastle 28 (5-18) North Queensland 22 (13-10) d Wests Tigers 14 (6-17) Canterbury 26 (9-14) d Gold Coast 14 (7-16) Melbourne 64 (19-4) d South Sydney 6 (9-14) Sydney City 16 (16-7) d Cronulla 14 (14-9) Manly 22 (13-10) d New Zealand 21 (7-16) St George Illawarra 16 (12-11)… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 25, 2017
Background What a team the Canberra Raiders were in the early 1990s. As one of the NSWRL’s first expansion teams in 1982, the Raiders made five grand finals between 1987 and 1994 (that’s seven years!). Of those five grand finals, Canberra won three of them in 1989, 1990 and 1994. Jason Croker, Mal Meninga, Ricky… Read More Club Report – Canberra Raiders
This is a real headscratcher of a round. Enough crap teams have recently found some form in the bottom of the barrel so they can at least go into pre-season training with a semblance of self-esteem. It also means that they are playing better than the teams whose season is actually on the line. The… Read More NRL Tips – Round 25, 2017
The Stocky is the main forecasting tool driving the analysis on this site. It’s a simulator of the season ahead, using the Monte Carlo method and based on Elo ratings, that gives insight into the future performance of each club. My main interest has been the number of wins, as it determines ladder positions which in… Read More Analysis – Stocky vs Reality: Did your team outperform? (Pt II)
Results Parramatta 30 (14-8) d Gold Coast 8 (7-15) South Sydney 36 (9-13) d New Zealand 18 (7-15) Brisbane 24 (15-7) d St George Illawarra 12 (11-11) Melbourne 44 (18-4) d Newcastle 12 (5-17) Sydney City 22 (15-7) d Wests Tigers 18 (6-16) Cronulla 26 (14-8) d North Queensland 16 (12-10) Penrith 26 (13-9) d Canberra 22 (10-12) Canterbury 30 (8-14) d Manly… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 24, 2017
Background Cronulla won a premiership. You might have heard about it. It was last year. It was also their first since joining the NSWRL premiership in 1967. The Sharks are also the only team stupid enough to recently get caught in a doping scandal. In the NRL, you’d basically have to leave a box of… Read More Club Report – Cronulla Sharks
The Stocky is the main forecasting tool driving the analysis on this site. It’s a simulator of the season ahead, using the Monte Carlo method and based on Elo ratings, that gives insight into the future performance of each club. My main interest has been the number of wins, as it determines ladder positions which in… Read More Analysis – Stocky vs Reality: Did your team outperform? (Pt I)
Only three games to go. There are a couple of finals places still up for grabs, as well as the all important wooden spoon battle, which is proving to be more inspirational than wondering which big market team is going to finish where in the top four. Draw Gold Coast (7-14) @ Parramatta (13-8) While the… Read More NRL Tips – Round 24, 2017
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