Last weekend saw a much more predictable round with teams, perhaps for the first time this season, actually sticking to the form book. In fact, there were no what I would call upsets. The favourites generally accounted for their opposition, particularly the Broncos shutting out the Tigers in Brisbane, the Dragons taking care of the Warriors… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 11, 2017
The answer is Geelong, closely followed by Townsville: Did you want some more explanation or the graph is enough? The graph is fine? Well, I’ll just sit here in case you change your mind. Here’s an appropriate moment from The Simpsons:
Round 10 had up and downs with a couple of surprises, a couple of line balls and a few dead certs coming through. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong end of almost all of them. “Success” It was a rough round for everyone except for Eratosthenes, who managed five from eight. Euclid and I scored… Read More NRL Tips – Round 11, 2017
What a round! High scoring, plenty of upsets and more than a few that went right down to the wire. It was the highest scoring round of the season. The Titans downed the Storm, the Knights downed the Raiders and the Panthers came from well behind – 22 points down at half time – to take down… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 10, 2017
There’s nothing quite like a Wizard of Oz reference to title a post on a rugby league blog but here we are to discuss Australia’s third and best city, Brisbane. I guess I, like most Australians outside the SCAM triangle, have a chip on my shoulder about the relative importance afforded to Sydney and Melbourne… Read More Analysis – “Lions and Broncos and Bears! Oh my!” – Brisbane’s footy attendances
Round 9 was pretty typical, garnering roughly five from eight correct tips. I suggested that there might be some trouble getting it right, and I was right about that, but the trouble came from surprising areas, e.g. the Warriors sneaking home against the Roosters in the dying minutes of the game. “Success” I’d like to… Read More NRL Tips – Round 10, 2017
Last time, I introduced the concept of Cap. Cap is the ratio of the number of people in the area of a game compared to the number of people who actually turn up over the season. In this case, the lower the Cap (i.e. the more people who attend compared to the size of the local… Read More Analysis – An historical comparison of rugby league and AFL attendances using Cap
As I suggested in the Tips post, there were a few upsets this round but they weren’t the ones I was expecting. I said it was “hard to imagine” the Eels and Warriors getting up but they did, even if the Warriors were pretty lucky to get a last minute, and winning, penalty at the… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 9, 2017
Round 8 seemed to be a return to normal with a few upsets bringing us back to earth after a very successful Round 7. Round 9 will be more of the same with some even match-ups, including a top of the table clash between the Dragons and Storm on Sunday arvo and a questionable game… Read More NRL Tips – Round 9, 2017
The start of the AFL season ushered in a series of gushing articles about how wonderful the nearly 45,000 average attendance for the first round was and how the NRL’s struggle to get even 15,000 to their games was an indictment on the code and a sign that its demise was imminent. This is the… Read More Analysis – The pissing contest that is comparing average attendances
Pythago NRL 