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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: statistics

The April premiership

By the time you read this, it should be April, which means the NRL is on the cusp of handing out the April Premiership, the third most important, and the least existent, trophy of the season. The term “April premiers” seems to have a few variations in meaning. Typically, it’s a team that starts particularly… Read More The April premiership

April 2, 2019April 15, 2019 pythagonrl

A complete history of the Queensland Cup

Last year, I did a series of graphs which told each NRL team’s history in the top flight since 1998. Despite expectations, it was pretty well received compared to the one I was expecting to generate a bit of interest. Now that we have all of the Queensland Cup results, I thought I’d run the same… Read More A complete history of the Queensland Cup

January 28, 2019March 8, 2019 pythagonrl

Primer – PPG and WARG

Turns out that StatScore didn’t pan out the way I had hoped. There were some conceptual errors but the biggest was that I wanted a measure of rate and a measure of volume and you can’t have one statistic that does both. It’s like having one number that meaningfully states that a boxer is both… Read More Primer – PPG and WARG

January 22, 2019February 27, 2019 pythagonrl

Primer – Poseidon ratings

Poseidon ratings are a new team rating system for both the NRL and the Queensland Cup. For those who don’t have time to read 2000+ words, here’s the short version: the purpose of Poseidon ratings is to assess the offensive and defensive capabilities of rugby league teams in terms of the number of tries they… Read More Primer – Poseidon ratings

January 17, 2019January 28, 2019 pythagonrl

Stats of Six: Is 2018 the worst top eight in NRL finals history?

Using the same format I used during the rep weekend, this is the finals preview-ish post. I didn’t get to do all the analysis I wanted to because I’ve run out of time. By the time this gets published, I should be somewhere in or around California starting my honeymoon, which I think should probably… Read More Stats of Six: Is 2018 the worst top eight in NRL finals history?

September 4, 2018January 22, 2019 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 25, 2018

And we made it. It’s last the tips post for 2018. I plan to do a finals preview, once the top eight is actually decided, and maybe one more recap and then that’s it for a while. Let’s not delay then and get into it.

August 29, 2018September 3, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 24, 2018

While I was sleeping off my Napa-headbutt-induced apoplexy (again), the Catalans Dragons, from Perpignan in the south of France, won the Challenge Cup at Wembley. They became the first non-English team to do so since the competition’s inception in 1896. It’s an amazing milestone in the game’s reconstruction in France and the slow globlisation of… Read More NRL Recap – Round 24, 2018

August 27, 2018September 3, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 24, 2018

We’re in the penultimate round of the regular season and can definitely feel the approaching finals footy. There’s still some unfinished business to be resolved, specifically ensuring that the Tigers finish ninth as they are destined to do until the heat death of the universe, or maybe when Jeremy Marshall-King’s backended contract at the Bulldogs… Read More NRL Tips – Round 24, 2018

August 23, 2018August 29, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Recap – Round 23, 2018

News came through yesterday that the All-Stars game is going to change from an Indigenous against the World format to an Indigenous Australia vs Maori NZ game. All I can say in response is, “Finally.” It makes a decision over who to support much more straightforward, allowing for some emotional investment in the game that’s… Read More NRL Recap – Round 23, 2018

August 21, 2018August 27, 2018 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 23, 2018

I kind of liked last week’s format, so I might try to hybridise it with the typical 2018 format. Originally, I wanted to cut down on the time these took to put together but unfortunately I also like to type a lot of garbage. Instead of the Other Games paragraph that I was throwing together… Read More NRL Tips – Round 23, 2018

August 15, 2018August 23, 2018 pythagonrl

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