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Pythago NRL

Rugby league Elo models, player ratings and statistics

Tag: Tips

NRL Tips – Round 11, 2017

Round 10 had up and downs with a couple of surprises, a couple of line balls and a few dead certs coming through. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong end of almost all of them. “Success” It was a rough round for everyone except for Eratosthenes, who managed five from eight. Euclid and I scored… Read More NRL Tips – Round 11, 2017

May 17, 2017May 17, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Projections Update – Round 10, 2017

What a round! High scoring, plenty of upsets and more than a few that went right down to the wire. It was the highest scoring round of the season. The Titans downed the Storm, the Knights downed the Raiders and the Panthers came from well behind – 22 points down at half time – to take down… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 10, 2017

May 15, 2017May 15, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 10, 2017

Round 9 was pretty typical, garnering roughly five from eight correct tips. I suggested that there might be some trouble getting it right, and I was right about that, but the trouble came from surprising areas, e.g. the Warriors sneaking home against the Roosters in the dying minutes of the game. “Success” I’d like to… Read More NRL Tips – Round 10, 2017

May 8, 2017May 14, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Projections Update – Round 9, 2017

As I suggested in the Tips post, there were a few upsets this round but they weren’t the ones I was expecting. I said it was “hard to imagine” the Eels and Warriors getting up but they did, even if the Warriors were pretty lucky to get a last minute, and winning, penalty at the… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 9, 2017

May 1, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 9, 2017

Round 8 seemed to be a return to normal with a few upsets bringing us back to earth after a very successful Round 7. Round 9 will be more of the same with some even match-ups, including a top of the table clash between the Dragons and Storm on Sunday arvo and a questionable game… Read More NRL Tips – Round 9, 2017

April 27, 2017April 29, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Projections Update – Round 8, 2017

The thing about probabilities is that people don’t deal with them intuitively very well. This very site rated the Sharks at a 79% chance of winning over the Titans. Sure enough, the Titans came up with the goods in well fought game over the reining premiers. While 79% made Cronulla heavy favourites, that means that… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 8, 2017

April 25, 2017April 29, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 8, 2017

Round 8 does not offer too many difficult to judge matchups. For example, the two bottom teams are facing off against two in the top eight. Probably the most interesting game features the current ladder leaders, St George Illawarra, facing off against fourth placed Sydney City – their first real test of the season. Penrith might be able… Read More NRL Tips – Round 8, 2017

April 20, 2017April 29, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Projections Update – Round 7, 2017

Given that round 7 didn’t finish until Monday night, I couldn’t get the updated projections out until they’d actually finished playing. Being Tuesday, we’ll skip the updated ratings post and will do the same again next week when the projections update will come out Tuesday night after the ANZAC Day games. This week though, we… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 7, 2017

April 18, 2017April 29, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Tips – Round 7, 2017

Some interesting matchups this round. The usually highly fancied Cowboys are facing off against the Dragons and the guys with the early form, the Sea Eagles, are taking on the Storm, who are probably looking to right the wrongs of a poor performance against the Sharks. At the other end of the ladder, the Tigers-Eels game… Read More NRL Tips – Round 7, 2017

April 13, 2017April 29, 2017 pythagonrl

NRL Projections Update – Round 6, 2017

A couple of really, really big upsets in this week’s mix with the Sharks bringing the Storm’s unbeaten run to an end and the Tigers throwing the form guide out the window and taking down a lacklustre Cowboys outfit. The Dragons now top the table, matching the Storm’s 5-1 record. It’s very tight still with… Read More NRL Projections Update – Round 6, 2017

April 10, 2017April 29, 2017 pythagonrl

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